Monthly letter July 2026
2026-07-08 19:40:00
The FIFA World Cup is in full swing, and the teams are competing for the coveted World Cup Trophy – weighing in at 6.175kg, whereof 5kg of it is 18-karat gold. Whether on the pitch or in the markets, going for gold is rarely a straight line. June was proof of this – the sharpest correction since 2013 had many calling the run over. But the underlying case has only strengthened.
The drops in gold and silver were technical corrections driven by dollar strength, algorithmic trading and rate hike expectations – not by fundamentals.
In this month's letter, we look at:
- What caused June's correction — and what mining funds outperforming the commodities signals about where the strength really lies
- The mounting pressure on the U.S. debt burden, the Fed's softening tone, and the case for QE returning with the Fed as "buyer of last resort"
- Central banks continuing their 15-year gold buying streak — and why they're increasingly turning to an asset that carries no counterparty risk